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vPPA value for 18 MW solar park in Sweden (SE4), 15 years contract
Solar PPA PriceComparisonSavings
Solar PPA Price
Spot price, adjusted for capture premium
Cumulative savings
33 MSEK
30 MSEK in PPA, 3.05 MSEK in GOs
Forecasted spot price year 1öre/kWh
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PPA price: Use step price instead of a fixed price
Breaking down the numbers
32 öre/kWh
Fixed solar PPA price throughout the contract duration, 15 years.
If you want to optimize day one savings, you can replace the fixed solar PPA price with a price based on a step function. This lets you pay less than 32 öre/kWh during an initial period, and then more during the remainder of the contract period. The average price will still be 32 öre/kWh.
33 MSEK
The potential savings over the full contract length (15 years) is 33 MSEK.
30 MSEK of the 33 MSEK is from the energy sold to the grid. This is based on an NPV with 5% WACC.
3.05 MSEK of the 33 MSEK is what you save on Guarantees of Origin (GOs), assuming an average retail price of 1.5 öre/kWh per year over the total contract period. With a park producing GOs, you can simply buy less of these from other sources.
19.8 GWh/year
This includes a 0.2% performance degradation YoY.
Capture price
Example: Hourly spot prices compared to the vPPA price in SE4, August 21 2020
The average spot price between 06:00 and 18:00 - when the solar park produced energy this day - was 66,5 öre/kWh.
Solar PPA PriceComparison
Solar PPA Price
Spot price, adjusted for capture premium
39.5 kSEK
- Total revenue Aug 21st: 39.5 kSEK
- From PPA: 38 kSEK
- Additional savings from GOs: 1.5 kSEK
- Assumes a solar park located in SE4 with annual production of 19 GWh (18MW)
- PPA price at 32 öre/kWh
- Guarantees of Origin priced at 1,5 öre/kWh
| Time | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solar power produced (MWh) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Difference between PPA price and spot price (öre/kWh) | 3 | -3 | -7 | -8 | -10 | -8 | 22 | 31 | 42 | 44 | 42 | 40 | 40 | 37 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 18 | 21 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
| Cashflow from PPA (kSEK) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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